Money and Elections

Perceived Problem: According to the Center for Responsive Politics, “The historic election of 2008 re-confirmed one truism about American democracy: Money wins elections.” According to the Center, candidates, interest groups, and political parties in the Presidential and Congressional races spent more than 5.2 billion dollars. The increase in campaign expenditures has led to the concern that politicians will become so desperate for money that they will become beholden to special interests, individuals, and parties, shutting out the poor, and leading to a system where governmental influence can be purchased with campaign contributions.

Evidence?

According to Center for Responsive Politics, during the 2008 election, the candidate who spent more money won 93% of House races and 94% of Senate races.

In 2008, the average cost of winning a House seat was $1.1 million, and the average Senate seat cost $5.6 million.

Average expenditures for Congressional seats in 2002

1. House:

Party

 

No. of Cands

 

Average Raised

 

Average Spent

 

Average Cash
on Hand

 

Average
from PACs

 

Average
from Indivs

 

All

 

435

 

$966,670

 

$898,184

 

$307,187

 

$413,140

 

$498,044

 

Senate:

Party

 

No. of Cands

 

Average Raised

 

Average Spent

 

Average Cash
on Hand

 

Average
from PACs

 

Average
from Indivs

 

All

 

34

 

$5,029,904

 

$4,812,159

 

$512,999

 

$1,230,238

 

$3,363,413

 

 

 

 

 

Consequences?

According to Center for Responsive Politics:

 “The oil and gas industry contributed $23.8 million in individual and PAC donations during the 2004 election cycle, 80 percent to Republicans. Environmental interests contributed $1.9 million, 88 percent to Democrats...Congressional Republicans have been trying for years to open up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to oil drilling “ while Democrats have opposed it.

. . .-

“Business associations sent 84 percent of their individual and PAC contributions to Republicans in the 2004 election cycle. They spent tens of millions of dollars more on lobbying . . .. (The US Chamber of Commerce) raises millions in corporate contributions for its legislative efforts. The Chamber spent more than $16 million lobbying the federal government in 2003 . . .The Chamber is the lead business group lobbying in favor of class action reform and other versions of tort reform. The Chamber's Institute for Legal Reform was formed in 1998 to ‘reduce excessive and frivolous litigation.’ . . .Less than a week after President Bush delivered the first State of the Union address of his second term, the Senate began debating the Class Action Fairness Act, which is intended to keep lawyers from bringing class action suits in states with the most sympathetic laws to their clients.”

Counter evidence??

Economist Steven Levitt argues that you cannot prove that money buys elections simply because those candidates with the most $ win. The problem he says is that perhaps the qualities that attract money are also the qualities that attract votes. So what to do? Levitt looked at campaign spending and election results for the same candidates who are running against the same opponents (which has occurred in roughly 1,000 congressional elections since 1972). So if a candidate spends more money in one election does his or her election results improve commensurately? Levitt says a winning candidate can cut his spending in half and lose only 1 percent of the vote, while a losing candidate can double their spending and only pick up 1 percent.

As for the money buying votes – it must be noted that traditional Republican ideology would support class action “reform” and drilling in ANWAR and traditional Democratic ideology would oppose both – so how do you isolate the influence of ideology from the influence of money??

So what are the sources of the “problem”?

The Candidate themselves – A candidate can contribute an unlimited amount of money to their own campaign – For most politicians though, this is usually just a fraction of the money that funds a political campaign – challengers often spend from their own pocket but incumbents rarely have to.

Individuals – The bulk of most campaign funds come from individual contributors (somewhere around 50 percent for incumbents and challengers in House and Senate races in 1997-1998) 

Political Action Committees (the political arms of special interest groups) – PACs are limited to $5,000 contributions but can host fundraisers that generate a flurry of smaller, individual donations, limited to $15,000 a year to national party committees -- (somewhere around 40 percent of campaign funds for incumbents, 10 percent of campaign funds for challengers in House and Senate races in 1997-1998) PACs are funded by contributions from members and cannot be funded out of membership dues – which means they have less cash than the organization they spring from (this becomes important with McCain-Feingold)

Parties – While parties are usually only a small source of direct contributions  (somewhere around 3 percent of campaign funds for incumbents, 6 percent of campaign funds for challengers in House and Senate races in 1997-1998) they also host fundraisers and used to be able to provide “soft money” – the use of money for “party-building activities” that can benefit a candidate by mobilizing sympathetic voters or candidate-specific advertising -- (Dems & Repubs made 1/2 Billion in soft money in 2000 & 2002)

General rules:

All federal contributions must be reported to the Federal Election Commission

All contributions over $100 must be disclosed with name, address and occupation of contributor

No foreign contributions

No corporate contributions

Presidential wrinkles

Primaries – there are federal matching funds available for all money raised from individual donors giving $250 or less – to take the matching funds the candidates need to agree to a $45 million cap on spending for the primary – Both Bush and Kerry opted not to take the matching money because they did not want to be limited by the cap (Bush would go on to raise $292 million in the primary, Kerry $251 million)

General – Major party candidates are given a lump sum (currently around $75 million) that must meet all of their campaign expenses – minor party candidates can receive some public money if their candidate received more than 5 percent of the vote in the previous election

What had the court said about campaign contributions?

Buckley V. Valeo (1976) – money is speech and thus limitations on what a person spends their political contributions on are a violation of free speech rights – strikes down limits on what a candidate can spend of their own money, general expenditure limits, as well as limits on expenditures for “issue advocacy” advertisements – but upholds reporting requirements and limits on contributions to candidates

What is the most recent wrinkle?

The Bipartisan Campaign Finance Reform Act (also known as McCain-Feingold) was signed into law in March 2002 – law went into effect during 2004 election cycle--

Bans unlimited “soft-money” contributions by limiting contributions to national parties to $28,500 per calendar year, and $10,000 to each local and state party committees

-Aggregate total: $108,200 per 2-yr election as follows: $42,700 per cycle to candidates and $65,500 per cycle to all national party committees and PACs (no more than $40,000 of this can go to PACs per cycle) 

BCRA also Increased individual contribution limits –

From $1,000 to $2,300 per candidate per election

From $20,000 to $28,500 per national party committee per year

The Supreme Court upholds BCRA in the 5-4 McConnell v Federal Election Commission (2003)

Stevens and O’Connor majority opinion on soft money:

“Under this system, corporate, union, and wealthy individual donors have been free to contribute substantial sums of soft money to the national parties, which the parties can spend for the specific purpose of influencing a particular candidate's federal election. It is not only plausible, but likely, that candidates would feel grateful for such donations and that donors would seek to exploit that gratitude.”

Stevens and O’Connor majority opinion on “issue advocacy”:

“While the distinction between "issue" and express advocacy seemed neat in theory, the two categories of advertisements proved functionally identical in important respects. Both were used to advocate the election or defeat of clearly identified federal candidates, even though the so-called issue ads eschewed the use of magic words. Little difference existed, for example, between an ad that urged viewers to "vote against Jane Doe" and one that condemned Jane Doe's record on a particular issue before exhorting viewers to "call Jane Doe and tell her what you think." . . . Corporations and unions spent hundreds of millions of dollars of their general funds to pay for these ads, and those expenditures, like soft-money donations to the political parties, were unregulated. . .”

Kennedy’s dissent on “issue advocacy”

“Suppose a few Senators wanted to show their constituents in the logging community how much they care about working families and propose a law, 60 days before the election, that would harm the environment by allowing logging in national forests. Under the McCain-Feingold law, a non-profit environmental group would be unable to run an ad referring to these Senators in their districts. The suggestion that the group could form and fund a PAC in the short time reuired for effective participation in the political debate is fanciful.”

           

(Possible unforseen consequences– As provided by 1st amendment attorney Floyd Abrams in his book “Speaking Freely.”)

Advertisements for the Anti-Bush movie “Fahrenheit 9/11" could not be run 30 days before the Republican Convention in August 2004 because they included footage of Bush

A book written by John Kerry could not be advertised by its publisher on radio and television at all in July (the Democratic Convention), and most of September and all of October (the general election)

 

The AFL-CIO was unable to broadcast ads criticizing federal overtime regulations issued near the 2004 election by the Department of Labor because the ads included the names of members of Congress they wished to influence. They ads could also not include the phrase “the Bush administration” or “Bush’s Department of Labor)

Well that certainly handles that problem . . . Right?

  -Section 527 of the IRS Code—

These political, non-profit organizations are not subject to the same regulations of BCRA as political parties are.  Thus, 527s can raise the “soft money” donations that the parties cannot legally do anymore and spend it themselves on election and issue advocacy ads

  Biggest 527s of 2004: 

America Coming Together ($79 million), Joint Victory Campaign ($71 million), The Media Fund ($59 million), MoveOn.org ($12 million), Swift Boat Veterans For Truth ($17 million)

  In 2004 the largest 527s tended to be left leaning, with the very notable exception of Swift Boat Veterans for Truth

(Other right-leaning groups included:  Progress for America Fund, American Resolve, November Fund, and Leadership Forum)

 

Randall v. Sorrell -- In June 2006 the Supreme Court struck down a Vermont law that:

Put limits on the amount that a candidate could spend on their campaigns -- $2,500 for state house, $300,000 for governor (Breyer, Alito, Roberts wrote in the majority that was a violation of free speech – logic consistent with Buckley)

Put limits far lower than the federal restrictions on contributions

 

Citizens United v. Federal Elections Commission – In January 2010 the Supreme Court ruled in a 5-4 decision according to the NY Times that; “the government may not ban political spending by corporations in candidate elections.

The decision eliminates the McCain-Feingold limits on corporations and unions that prevented buying “electioneering ads” featuring the names and/or likenesses of candidates within 60 days of a general election, or 30 days of a primary election.

The majority composed of the Supreme Court’s four conservative justices plus the swing justice Anthony Kennedy, said, “That the decision was a vindication, the majority said, of the First Amendment’s most basic free speech principle — that the government has no business regulating political speech.”

Writing for the majority, Justice Kennedy wrote, “If the First Amendment has any force, it prohibits Congress from fining or jailing citizens, or associations of citizens, for simply engaging in political speech.”

The minority, led by Justice John Paul Stevens, said that, “The majority had committed a grave error in treating corporate speech the same as that of human beings.”

A central point of the minority’s opinion stemmed from a fear of undue influence of corporations in elections.

The Citizens United case stemmed from a documentary called Hillary: The Movie. Citizens United attempted to broadcast the documentary on television and On-Demand service, however, the FEC prevented the showing.

The McCain-Feingold bill excludes news reports, and commentaries, and the Supreme Court was expected to rule that Citizens United was protected by the exclusion, however, the Court instead went further and overturned the restrictions on union and corporate spending,

The Supreme Court has long held that Corporations are covered by the First Amendment.